Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.260537 2.604784 2.989032 3.450658 3.991430 4.606329 5.360605
2025-04-06 1.745737 2.201441 2.762606 3.508663 4.480802 5.713107 7.407057
2025-04-13 1.422587 1.902768 2.533547 3.430877 4.687615 6.404391 8.960203
2025-04-20 1.274678 1.790039 2.504405 3.580164 5.182114 7.515822 11.240132
2025-04-27 1.120363 1.638185 2.388826 3.574638 5.434846 8.298344 13.151998
2025-05-04 1.029904 1.562176 2.365910 3.692717 5.877009 9.417192 15.769393
2025-05-11 0.932893 1.461268 2.288295 3.707871 6.147812 10.290116 18.117511
2025-05-18 0.851074 1.372763 2.216598 3.718007 6.403795 11.165349 20.612511
2025-05-25 0.760354 1.258386 2.087589 3.610654 6.433910 11.637472 22.427017
2025-06-01 0.709366 1.204508 2.053095 3.662458 6.755095 12.685209 25.550554
2025-06-08 0.670238 1.166371 2.040611 3.750673 7.153819 13.936652 29.322984
2025-06-15 0.621044 1.104793 1.978734 3.736564 7.347587 14.803316 32.423974
2025-06-22 0.559416 1.020145 1.876303 3.653839 7.440239 15.581931 35.760265
2025-06-29 0.519803 0.973601 1.843004 3.711409 7.852655 17.164927 41.497217
2025-07-06 0.470244 0.901455 1.749815 3.628901 7.942088 18.033579 45.678498
2025-07-13 0.450688 0.886132 1.768090 3.787650 8.606404 20.390810 54.436762
2025-07-20 0.417919 0.839848 1.716193 3.781774 8.880215 21.843973 61.109046
2025-07-27 0.399681 0.821655 1.721383 3.907371 9.499302 24.318115 71.529934
2025-08-03 0.374515 0.785652 1.683044 3.923491 9.842524 26.128273 80.472630
2025-08-10 0.351434 0.751617 1.644907 3.934274 10.174101 27.981193 90.162554
2025-08-17 0.322212 0.700678 1.561998 3.820080 10.143999 28.777488 96.503229
2025-08-24 0.306516 0.679032 1.545359 3.875183 10.602975 31.158901 109.371547
2025-08-31 0.294321 0.664229 1.543353 3.969025 11.194077 34.099661 125.442966